Distinguish dissolved totals from the ions in a solubility product
Audit historical brushite measurements, allocate a proposed free-phosphate fraction and expose what totals and source-model corrections cannot identify alone.
Learning outcome: Distinguish measured total concentration, free-ion concentration and activity when evaluating a solubility-product inference.
Starting recap
Total phosphorus includes different protonation states and ion pairs. Ksp uses the activities of the species in the dissolution equation, not every species containing the same element.
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Try
One record has 4.82mM total phosphorus, but the source model places 18.7% in a sodium ion pair. Can all 4.82mM also be free HPO₄²⁻?
Open the experimentPredict
Predict whether multiplying total calcium by total phosphorus equals the reported activity product. Predict what happens if you assign 100% of phosphorus to free HPO₄²⁻ while retaining the source ion-pair fraction.
Experiment
Repair the impossible phosphorus allocation, then compare two still-unidentified free-fraction proposals and their required remaining correction factors. Compare E-1/E-6 and A-1/A-6, distinguishing total concentration changes from model activity products and noting pH changes. Capture an excluded proposal and a not-identified proposal.
Audit free-ion inference from measured dissolved totals
Historical measured totals · source-model fractions · original inference audit · Selected NBS 1974 brushite observations at 25°C. Total calcium/phosphorus and pH are measured columns; ionic strength, Na-bound fraction and corrected activity product are source-model calculations. The inverse bookkeeping audit does not solve acid-base equilibria or activity coefficients, validate a proposed free fraction, or independently reproduce the source fit. Central printed values are not exact measurements or uncertainty bounds.
Reset keeps your prediction, captures and practice history.
Record E-6: measured totals are not free species
Brushite, CaHPO₄·2H₂O, at 25°C. Measured total Ca 3.62mM, total P 4.82mM and pH 6.37. NaCl 0.500mol/L; initial phosphorus 1.21mM. Source-model ionic strength 0.511mol/L.
Na-bound P = 0.90134mM; proposed free HPO₄²⁻ = 4.82000mM; unassigned remainder = -0.90134mM. A negative remainder violates this conditional bookkeeping constraint. The reported Na-bound fraction is itself a model output, so this is a conditional bound.
Total product CₜPₜ = 1.744840e-5mol²/L². Reported corrected activity product = 2.440000e-7mol²/L². Their ratio is 71.510. Multiplying totals does not reproduce the solubility product.
Why a repaired allocation is still not identified
Write fP=[HPO₄²⁻]/Pₜ and fCa=[Ca²⁺]/Cₜ. The source convention gives Ksp=CₜPₜ×fP×fCa×γCa×γHPO₄. Its combined factor Ksp/(CₜPₜ) is 0.0139841. If your fP=1 were correct, the remaining factor fCa×γCa×γHPO₄ is not assigned for this rejected or zero-free proposal.
This rearrangement uses the reported Ksp as an input. It is not an independent determination of Ksp or the free fraction. Changing your proposal changes the required remaining factor: without speciation and activity information, the single equation does not identify its individual factors. Passing this one bound does not establish chemical plausibility.
| Record | NaCl(M) | pH | Total Ca | Total P | Initial model K′×10⁷ | Refined model K×10⁷ | Na-bound P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E-1 | 0 | 6.19 | 1.6 | 2.79 | 2.52 | 2.52 | 0 |
| E-6 | 0.5 | 6.37 | 3.62 | 4.82 | 2.59 | 2.44 | 18.7 |
| A-1 | 0 | 4.39 | 14.7 | 29.8 | 2.52 | 2.55 | 0 |
| A-6 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 15.2 | 29.9 | 2.11 | 2.44 | 0.74 |
The initial model already includes acid equilibria, calcium ion pairs and activity corrections; it is not the naive total product. The refined model additionally fits an activity-equation parameter and sodium pairing to these data. Improved constancy is an in-sample diagnostic, not independent proof. Within each A/E series, initial phosphorus is held, but pH and ionic strength also change with NaCl; do not claim the comparison isolates one microscopic mechanism.
Primary evidence and limits
Patel, Gregory and Brown (1974), Tables 1/3, printed 676/678. The study reports 25±.01°C and two-week equilibration periods, pH estimated standard error ±.01, relative Ca error .025 and P error .015. We do not turn those summaries into independent confidence intervals or propagate them through unreimplemented fitted speciation. The paper’s concentration-scaled product convention has units mol²/L²; dividing by the squared 1mol/L standard gives the dimensionless numerical counterpart. The full source model and its fit are not reproduced here.
The proposed free fraction and reported Na-bound fraction exceed the same phosphorus budget.
Measured-total product 1.74484e-5 versus reported model activity product 2.44000e-7 mol²/L². No conditional remaining-factor calculation is assigned.
Captures retain a historical record and your proposed free-phosphate fraction. Replay checks a conditional phosphorus budget and rearranges reported source values; it does not independently determine free-ion concentrations or reproduce the original speciation fit.
Understand
Apply
Public practice checks a specific claim. It does not establish independent mastery.
Explain which values were measured and which were fitted or calculated. Why does passing one phosphorus bound not establish the actual free-ion fraction? Why is improved constancy in data used for fitting not independent validation?
Continue
Completion requires a saved prediction, at least one capture and a reflection. Presence checks do not grade your reasoning.
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