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SCIENCE · INVESTIGATE AND EXPLAIN

Compare redshift with independent distance

Analyze the complete historical observed panel before contrasting a controlled fictional sample.

Learning outcome: Describe an overall relation while retaining scatter, negative velocities and historical limits.

Starting recap

Table 1 is uncorrected measured velocity, not corrected Figure 1 or a modern Hubble-constant sample.

All lessons are open directly. Your saved experiments remain when you leave and return.

Try

The historical sums give a descriptive through-origin slope about 423.937 per historical Mpc.

Open the experiment

Predict

Can negative nearby velocities coexist with a positive overall relation?

Experiment

Inspect all 24 observed rows, compute a slope from sums, compare the two historical fits and then examine fictional A and F.

Compare galaxy spectra, distance and expansion evidence

Fictional controlled comparisons · separate historical observations · Six original fictional records with artificial vacuum references. Low-redshift cz is a proxy, not an exact cosmological speed. Distance and peculiar-motion bounds are stipulated feasible ranges, not confidence intervals. A separate historical observed panel preserves all 24 raw Hubble 1929 Table 1 records. Neither fit is a current H0 estimate; Hubble time is not cosmic age.

Reset keeps your prediction, captures and practice history.

Original diagrams, not telescope images · same constructed galaxy, two viewsFace-on diskEdge-on diskHaloBulgeDiskStars, gas and dust occupy different distributions; dark matter is inferredfrom gravitational evidence. The dashed halo boundary is a layout guide.Unresolved spot: could be a star or a distant compact system. More evidence needed.

A galaxy is a gravitationally bound system of stars and other matter. Disk galaxies can include a central bulge and an extended halo; gas, dust and stellar populations need not share the same shape. Smooth elliptical and irregular appearances also occur. A viewing angle can change the appearance of one object without changing its physical identity. These schematic regions do not establish a galaxy's distance, age, stellar count or dark-matter distribution.

Try sketching the same disk from two directions, then list what a picture alone cannot determine. Morphological categories are not a universal evolutionary sequence. The NASA galaxy overview supplies background; the drawings here are original teaching constructions.

Controlled experiment: six fictional records

Selected D: Irregular. Appearance is supplied, not classified by the browser. All six records are original teaching cases. Selecting one highlights its evidence; it does not change the sample. The separate historical panel below supplies actual published observations.

The independent-method model distance is 40.00 Mpc and angular diameter is 15 arcseconds. With the small-angle local approximation, projected diameter is 2.90888 kpc. Mpc means million parsecs; kpc means thousand parsecs. One arcsecond is 1/3600 of a degree. These deliberately equal-size examples do not establish a real standard ruler.

Fictional virtual features · vacuum nm · no real element identificationReferenceRaw recordCorrectedLamp knownLamp raw400450500550600650Both lamps imply raw minus known = +2 nm. Subtract 2 nm to correct.Current analysis uses corrected wavelengths.
Selected virtual features; z = used wavelength / reference − 1
Reference nmRaw nmCorrected nmUsed nmFractional shift z
400406.002769404.002769404.0027690.010006923
500507.003461505.003461505.0034610.010006923
600608.004154606.004154606.0041540.010006923

Consistent virtual-line shifts under the selected calibration; fictional local approximation. Accepted common z: 0.010006923; accepted cz proxy: 3000.000 km/s. The 10⁻¹⁰ consistency tolerance suppresses arithmetic noise in exact constructed lines; it is not instrument precision or a confidence interval.

Fictional controlled comparison · cz proxy (km/s), not exact cosmological speedHorizontal bars: stipulated distance bounds · square: selected · circles: other records01000200030004000500060006500ABCDEF020406080100110Independent-method model distance (Mpc)Fixed axes for every analysis case. No synthetic point is an observed galaxy.
Full six-record sample; intervals are conditional feasibility bounds, not probabilities
RecordDistance MpcDistance bounds MpcAccepted cz km/scz/d (km/s/Mpc)Residual km/sFeasible H km/s/Mpc
A5.004.50–5.5050.00010.000-303.0930.000–77.778
B10.009.00–11.001000.000100.000293.81463.636–144.444
C20.0018.00–22.001100.00055.000-312.37136.364–77.778
D (selected)40.0036.00–44.003000.00075.000175.25861.364–91.667
E60.0054.00–66.004000.00066.667-237.11356.061–79.630
F80.0072.00–88.005800.00072.500150.51562.500–84.722

Descriptive slope H = 70.61856 km/s/Mpc. The calculation minimizes unweighted squared proxy residuals while forcing zero intercept. It is not an errors-in-variables analysis or a modern H₀ estimate. Wider bounds leave the central fit unchanged; multiplying all distances by 1.2 lowers the fitted slope by 1/1.2. A calibration change is not a new independent sample.

Connect the local approximation and conditional bounds

For each identified virtual feature, z = λused/λreference − 1. Multiplying by c = 299792.458 km/s expresses redshift as a proxy cz. The approximation cz ≈ Hd + u includes a prescribed line-of-sight peculiar-motion term u. It omits relativistic cross terms and distinctions between distance definitions. Neither cz as a speed nor cz/H as a distance is generally valid at high redshift without more cosmological assumptions.

The fitted slope is Σ(d × cz)/Σd²; Σ means add over all six records. The stated distance bounds and |u| ≤ 300 km/s give, for these positive proxies, Hlow = max(0, (cz − 300)/dhigh) and Hhigh = (cz + 300)/dlow. This is compatibility with rectangular assumptions and H ≥ 0, not a probability statement. No observational error bars are inferred from decimal precision.

Projected diameter in kpc ≈ 1000 × distance in Mpc × angular diameter in arcseconds / 206264.806. This uses the small-angle approximation and local angular-diameter distance. The distance and angular-size calculation remains available even when spectral inference fails.

For purely cosmological redshift of comoving sources, 1 + zcos = aobserve/aemit, where a is cosmic scale factor. A measured redshift may contain peculiar motion and other contributions, so this exercise's mixed proxy does not uniquely measure that scale-factor ratio.

Inspect how the fictional sample was constructed

The six central proxies were prescribed as 70 × distance plus offsets −300, +300, −300, +200, −200 and +200 km/s. These offsets are not random draws or population statistics. The model distances were supplied independently of the resulting proxies. Artificial references at 400, 500 and 600 nm are multiplied by 1 + z, then a +2 nm instrument offset is added. All six angular sizes were chosen to give the same nominal projected diameter. These choices teach controlled comparisons; they do not measure real expansion.

Observed reference: Hubble's 1929 Table 1

These 24 published historical distance–velocity pairs are observations, separate from the fictional calibration experiment. Its controls do not alter this panel. Distances use the obsolete historical calibration; velocities are the table's measured values before the fitted solar-motion correction used in the paper's Figure 1. These descriptive fits are neither a reproduction of that corrected figure nor a modern expansion measurement.

Actual historical records · outdated distance scale · uncertainties unavailableVelocity (km/s) · circle: other objects; diamond: common-distance Virgo groupSolid: through origin · dashed: free intercept · neither fit is current H₀-3000300600900120000.511.52Historical distance (million parsecs, numerically Mpc)No invented error bars. Nearby negative velocities coexist with the overall pattern.Full records below include identifiers and every published distance/sign.
All 24 original Table 1 pairs; uncertainty unavailable, not zero
ObjectHistorical distance MpcMeasured velocity km/sGroup note
Small Magellanic Cloud0.032170—
Large Magellanic Cloud0.034290—
NGC 68220.214-130—
NGC 5980.263-70—
NGC 2210.275-185—
NGC 2240.275-220—
NGC 54570.45200—
NGC 47360.5290—
NGC 51940.5270—
NGC 44490.63200—
NGC 42140.8300—
NGC 30310.9-30—
NGC 36270.9650—
NGC 48260.9150—
NGC 52360.9500—
NGC 10681920—
NGC 50551.1450—
NGC 73311.1500—
NGC 42581.4500—
NGC 41511.7960—
NGC 43822500Common Virgo distance
NGC 44722850Common Virgo distance
NGC 44862800Common Virgo distance
NGC 464921090Common Virgo distance
Fits describe this historical table; units km/s per historical Mpc
DescriptionSlopeIntercept km/s
All 24, forced through origin423.937320 imposed
All 24, fitted intercept454.15844-40.78365
Grouping sensitivity: omit four Virgo rows446.352010 imposed

The full sample remains the default evidence. The four common-distance objects are not automatically four independent distance calibrations. The disclosed omission is a sensitivity comparison, not a way to choose a preferred result. Neither fit models distance error, sample selection or the author's solar-motion solution.

Reproduce the historical arithmetic and provenance

For distance r and velocity v, the through-origin descriptive slope is Σrv / Σr². Here n = 24, Σr = 21.873, Σv = 8955, Σr² = 29.517795 and Σrv = 12513.695. Each Σ means add over all rows. Dividing 12513.695 by 29.517795 gives about 423.9373. A free-intercept line also estimates where the line crosses the velocity axis; changing that assumption changes its slope.

Table 1 used stellar/luminosity distance criteria; Table 2 instead inferred distances from velocity and is excluded. Using the latter to verify the same velocity–distance relation would be circular. The table is not a random, volume-complete survey. Scatter and missing individual error estimates limit inference.

Primary scan, printed page 169 · Original paper DOI. Retrieved 2026-10-26. The numerical transcription preserves every row and sign; normalized identifiers replace historical typography. Local record SHA-256: c7d41a68838eec76e7bcb539c77f2db39a28aa304cd8d376b86abce84c746ff5.

Calculate Hubble time without claiming cosmic age

For a hypothetical present rate of 70 km/s/Mpc, 1/H corresponds to 13.96846 Gyr using 1 Mpc = 3.085677581491367 × 10¹⁹ km and a Julian year of 31557600 seconds. This is Hubble time, not the age of the universe. A present rate does not determine the past expansion history. Neither these six fictional cases nor the historical table establishes dark energy, a cosmic edge, a privileged center or the entire Big Bang model.

For scale-factor and distance definitions, see Hogg's redshift derivation. Bound galaxies and solar systems do not simply grow according to the background expansion relation.

Fictional six-record descriptive slope 70.6186 km/s/Mpc; selected galaxy D has z=0.0100069.

Consistent virtual-line shifts under the selected calibration; fictional local approximation. Independent-distance angular-size estimate 2.9089 kpc. Historical observations are a separate fixed dataset; uncertainty envelopes are conditional, not probabilities.

Captures preserve the fictional galaxy selection and analysis assumptions. Historical observations remain fixed. Replay supplies conditional comparisons, not new observations or a current expansion-rate measurement.

Understand

Inspect an observed pattern before a teaching model

Start with the separate Hubble 1929 observed-reference panel. Its 24 distance and measured radial-velocity pairs are transcribed from Table 1 of Hubble’s original paper. These are actual historical published estimates, not the fictional six-galaxy experiment. The old distance unit, million parsecs, is numerically megaparsecs, or Mpc.

Predict whether every velocity must be positive if a sample shows an overall positive distance–velocity relation. Read every row, including the five negative values. NGC 224, for example, has historical distance 0.275 Mpc and velocity −220 km/s. Removing it merely because its sign seems inconvenient would change the evidence rather than explain it.

Calculate a descriptive historical slope

The through-origin description uses slope Hfit = sum of distance times velocity divided by sum of distance squared. For the full historical table the printed sums are 12513.695 Mpc km/s and 29.517795 Mpc². Dividing gives approximately 423.937 km/s per historical Mpc. Units cancel to velocity per distance.

A through-origin line assumes zero intercept. A separate free-intercept fit gives slope approximately 454.158 and intercept −40.784 km/s. Compare the two descriptions, not just their rounded slopes. Choosing a fitting form changes what the calculation permits; neither is the author’s joint solar-motion solution.

These Table 1 velocities precede the paper’s fitted solar-motion correction used in Figure 1. Our plot is not a reproduction of that corrected figure, a modern CMB-frame sample or a present-day Hubble-constant determination. The historical distance scale is obsolete. Missing individual uncertainty bars mean unavailable uncertainty, not zero uncertainty.

The final four objects share assigned Virgo distance 2.0 Mpc but have velocities 500, 850, 800 and 1090 km/s. Mark their grouping on paper. They are not necessarily four statistically independent distance calibrations. The source’s Table 2 instead inferred distances from velocities and is excluded: such distances would not independently verify the same relation used to construct them.

Compare the fictional controlled experiment

Now select Calibrated wavelengths; baseline distances for the six fictional rows. All remain visible when you highlight one. These distances are stipulated independent-method estimates, and the calibrated spectra supply constructed cz proxies. The sample demonstrates reasoning; it is not new observed confirmation of expansion.

For this sample, sums 856250 and 12125 give through-origin slope approximately 70.619 km/s/Mpc. Individual ratios differ: A gives 50/5 = 10, while F gives 5800/80 = 72.5. These are not six changing universal constants. Inspect residuals, defined as cz minus fitted slope times distance, to see what the line does not explain.

The disclosed construction is cz = 70d + u, with prescribed local-motion terms, not random draws. Under the exercise’s 300 km/s bound, such motion is a much larger fraction of a nearby object’s expansion contribution than a distant one’s. That helps explain why one individual ratio is a poor general inference.

Test a fit without claiming statistical certainty

On paper compare candidate slopes 60, 70 and 80 for D at 40 Mpc and 3000 km/s. Predictions are 2400, 2800 and 3200; residuals are 600, 200 and −200 km/s. Squaring gives 360000, 40000 and 40000. D alone cannot distinguish the last two by squared residual. A full-sample objective uses every row.

This is descriptive fit reasoning, not a probability model, uncertainty interval or optimal treatment of uncertain distances. The historical and fictional samples must remain separate. Do not compare their different slopes as though they measured a real change of cosmic expansion between 1929 and today.

Transfer: retain a negative nearby value

For an unfamiliar paper case, assume H = 70 km/s/Mpc, distance 2 Mpc and local-motion term −250 km/s. Calculate cz and decide whether its sign alone contradicts a positive background expansion contribution.

Check the expansion-pattern transfer

The result is 70 × 2 − 250 = −110 km/s. The background contribution is positive, while local motion makes the combined proxy negative. This case is outside the selectable fictional sample and illustrates the local approximation; it does not supply a correction for any particular historical object.

Apply

The historical panel reproduces:

Public practice checks a specific claim. It does not establish independent mastery.

Explain the obsolete distance scale, group dependence and why velocity-derived Table 2 distances would be circular evidence.

Continue

Completion requires a saved prediction, at least one capture and a reflection. Presence checks do not grade your reasoning.

Skipping retains experiments and awards no mastery.

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