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SCIENCE · INVESTIGATE AND EXPLAIN

Separate efficiency from service demand

Compare matched service, changed use and a heat-transfer example.

Learning outcome: Explain why lower input per unit does not guarantee lower total use.

Starting recap

The dispatch controls do not simulate device efficiency or behavior.

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Try

A uses 2 kWh per unit and B 1; ten units use 20 versus 10, but 25 units of B use 25.

Open the experiment

Predict

Can a more efficient device use more total energy when requested service increases?

Experiment

Solve matched-service and changed-use cards, then capture ideal and lossy storage at fixed generation.

Match generation timing, storage and electrical service

Original four-hour electrical service scenario · separate lifecycle evidence · Original four-hour scenario: four one-hour bins each request 4 kW. All generation packets offer 16 kWh; initial storage is zero. Local supply, surplus charging, deficit discharge and at most 1 kW grid support follow a fixed greedy rule. Curtailed potential is not generated bus input. No forecast, emissions, prices, degradation or reliability certification is calculated.

Reset keeps your prediction, captures and practice history.

Same requested service, different timing and limits

Middle-period availability; Ideal fast storage. Every case requests 4 kW for four one-hour bins: 16 kWh over a four-hour window, not a whole day. Available local generation also totals 16 kWh. Initial storage is zero. Predict whether equal totals are sufficient before comparing the timing and storage controls.

Storage capacity is 4 kWh internal energy. Charge input power is limited to 4 kW; useful discharge output is limited to 4 kW. Charge efficiency is 100% and discharge efficiency is 100%. These are supplied reference profiles, not measured device ratings.

Available generationUsedCurtailed potentialoutside bus inputElectrical busServed electrical demandGrid≤1 kWStorageinternal kWhConversion lossDispatch: local supply → charge surplus / discharge deficit → grid support.Unserved demand is a shortfall against a request, not another energy outflow.

Grid import follows storage discharge and cannot exceed 1 kW. There is no grid charging or grid export. Surplus and deficit cannot coexist in a bin, so charging and discharge never occur together. This stipulated greedy rule is not scheduling optimization. Curtailed potential is unused availability, not generated energy dissipated inside the bus.

Power (kW): available generation bars; dashed requested load at 4 kWEach supplied level is constant within its one-hour bin.02468Bin 1Bin 2Bin 3Bin 4Internal stored energy (kWh): initial 0; end-of-bin bars belowSeparate fixed 0–4 kWh scale; these are boundary snapshots.01234After bin 1After bin 2After bin 3After bin 4A stored amount is not a power or a sum of successive snapshots.

Close two distinct accounts

Physical account (kWh): 12 used local generation + 1 grid + 0 initial store = 13 served + 0 charge loss + 0 discharge loss + 0 final store. Residual: 0.

Availability allocation (kWh): 16 available generation + 1 grid + 0 initial store = 13 served + 4 curtailed potential + 0 conversion losses + 0 final store. Residual: 0. This second account allocates potential generation; it does not imply all availability entered the physical bus.

Served 13 + unserved 3 = 16 kWh requested. Do not add unserved demand to either energy balance, or count battery output a second time as a new primary source.

Each bin lasts 1 h. Energy columns are kWh; the first two numerical columns are kW.
BinDemand kWAvailable kWDemand kWhAvailable kWhDirectCharge inputUsed generationCurtailed potentialStorage outputGridServedUnserved
1404000000113
2484844800040
3484840440040
4404000004040
Internal storage and energy accounts, all in kWh; start + stored charge − internal withdrawal = end.
BinStart storeStored chargeCharge lossInternal withdrawalDischarge lossEnd storePhysical residualAvailability residual
100000000
204000400
340000400
440040000

Reserve and service are different indicators

The illustrative end-reserve target is 1 kWh internal energy. Final store: 0 kWh; reserve shortfall: 1 kWh; target not met. This comparison did not constrain dispatch and does not guarantee future service. It is not another course requirement. Stored internal energy is not identical to deliverable energy for the lossy profile.

The 75% discharge case assigns all modeled loss to discharge for clarity: 4 kWh withdrawn delivers 3 kWh and loses 1 kWh to conversion. It is not a measured battery rating. No self-discharge, aging, thermal constraints, within-bin fluctuations, costs or emissions are calculated.

Check timing, capacity and an unfamiliar duration

Middle-period availability with ideal fast storage ends each bin at [0,4,4,0] kWh. The first bin still has 3 kWh unmet demand: later generation cannot serve an earlier request. With ideal slow storage the stores are [0,1,2,1]; 5 kWh remains unserved across the window despite meeting the final reserve target.

For a separate paper case, an ideal full 4 kWh store limited to 1 kW output can deliver at most 0.5 kWh in half an hour. Multiply power by duration; the numerical equality of kW and kWh in the live one-hour bins is a convenience, not a unit identity.

Served 13 of 16 kWh requested; unserved 3 kWh; final internal store 0 kWh.

Physical account: 12 used local generation + 1 grid = 13 served + 0 losses + 0 final store (kWh). Curtailed available potential 4 kWh is separate. Illustrative reserve shortfall 1 kWh; this does not establish future service.

Captures preserve recipes and replay their calculated results. They are synthetic model evidence, not physical measurements.

Understand

Hold the service constant before claiming efficiency

Two devices can use different energy amounts because one is more efficient, because their services differ, or because people use them differently. Begin by writing a functional service unit. In the supplied example, one unnamed device needs 2 kWh per unit and another needs 1. The units represent the same stipulated service, not merely two devices operating for equal time.

Predict their inputs for ten service units. Device A uses 20 kWh and B uses 10. The second uses half as much input for the same request under the assumptions. That is a matched-service efficiency comparison. It does not establish measured performance, cost, emissions or adequacy for a particular household.

Keep service fixed before claiming an efficiency saving

Original stipulated cards: device A needs 2 kWh per service unit; B needs 1 kWh. Predict the total for ten units from each, then for 25 units from B. A service unit is the same defined task in this comparison, not an unspecified appliance rating.

Supplied arithmetic, not measured behavior
CaseInput per service unitRequested unitsTotal inputComparison
A2 kWh1020 kWhReference
B1 kWh1010 kWhSame-service efficiency
B, more use1 kWh2525 kWhChanged demand
A, fewer units2 kWh816 kWhChanged service quantity
Check efficiency, sufficiency and rebound

B halves input for ten matched units, but its 25-unit case uses more than A’s original 20 kWh. Improved efficiency therefore does not guarantee lower total input. The changed-use card illustrates a possible rebound comparison, not a measured behavioral response or assumed rebound percentage. Requesting eight units changes service quantity; evaluate whether that remains adequate before recommending sufficiency.

A heat pump moves heat as well as using work

Supplied example: COP = useful heat delivered / electrical input = 3. For 12 kWh delivered heat, predict electrical input and extracted heat. This is an assumed operating point, not a seasonal appliance rating.

4 kWh electricity8 kWh extracted heat12 kWh delivered heat

Text balance: 4 kWh electricity + 8 kWh extracted heat = 12 kWh delivered heat. COP 3 is not 300% conversion of electricity into newly created energy. Ideal resistance heating needs 12 kWh electricity for the same 12 kWh heat at this boundary. Cost, emissions and seasonal performance need other evidence.

The IEA heat-pump explanation (2022) supports the transfer mechanism. Return to heat-pump COP for its energy balance and limits.

Separate efficiency from a change in use

Now let B provide 25 units. Its energy input is 25 × 1 = 25 kWh, exceeding A’s original 20. This is a changed-use scenario, not evidence that B lost its per-unit efficiency advantage. The arithmetic shows why improved efficiency alone does not guarantee lower total energy use.

Rebound describes increased use that can offset some expected savings, but this paper card does not measure behavior or assign a universal rebound percentage. Record the assumed use change explicitly rather than presenting it as an observed response to a new device.

A third option reduces A’s requested service from ten units to eight. Input becomes 8 × 2 = 16 kWh. This changes service quantity; it is not the same-service efficiency comparison. A sufficiency proposal must explain whether the reduced request remains adequate and who experiences the change. The energy calculation cannot decide those objectives by itself.

Explain a heat pump without creating energy

For a supplied heat-service case, a heat pump with coefficient of performance, COP, equal to 3 provides 12 kWh of heat using 4 kWh electricity. The other 8 kWh comes from heat extracted from its surroundings. At this boundary, output heat equals work input plus transferred environmental heat.

An ideal resistance heater would require 12 kWh electricity for the same 12 kWh heat. The heat pump’s COP exceeds one because it transfers heat as well as using work, not because electricity is multiplied or energy created. Revisit heat-pump COP for the energy balance and constraints.

The IEA heat-pump explanation supports this transfer mechanism. The authored COP 3 is a stipulated example, not a seasonal rating or observation of an installed appliance. Weather, operating conditions and system design would matter to an actual comparison, and no emissions factor is supplied here.

Connect efficient service with dispatch honestly

The live lab keeps its electrical request fixed at 4 kW across four bins. Its controls change generation timing and storage, not device efficiency, temperature settings or requested services. Compare ideal fast and lossy fast storage at the same timing: a loss profile changes the electricity needed to support a given delivered amount.

Capture that comparison and separate it from your paper device calculation. The dispatch model can show loss and grid support at its bus, but it cannot establish whether its electricity produces equal useful lighting or heat in different buildings. Keep boundaries consistent when building a portfolio argument.

Transfer: change both efficiency and service

A fictional old device uses 3 kWh per unit for six units. A replacement uses 2 kWh per unit for ten units. Calculate the two totals and explain how efficiency improved while total use changed. Name one additional question before recommending reduced service.

Check the efficiency-and-sufficiency transfer

The old input is 18 kWh; the replacement input is 20 kWh. Per-unit input improved from 3 to 2, but the larger service request more than offset that reduction. Adequacy, access or who bears the service reduction needs separate consideration. This stipulated comparison is not a measured behavioral rebound estimate.

Apply

COP 3 supplying 12 kWh heat uses 4 kWh electricity and:

Public practice checks a specific claim. It does not establish independent mastery.

Distinguish COP heat transfer, service adequacy and assumed rebound from measured behavior.

Continue

Completion requires a saved prediction, at least one capture and a reflection. Presence checks do not grade your reasoning.

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