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Learn through experiments

Defend a proposal with trade-offs

When does a faster process violate the service requirement?

Entering midway? Revisit Separate a result from its explanation for the preceding worked example, or start here and use the explanation below.

1 · Try

Start with a concrete question

Compare fictional service plans with setup time, per-case work and explicitly assumed unresolved-case rates.

Try the initial inputs, then write a prediction before changing one setting. All calculations run locally on your CPU.

Go directly to the experiment · Review basic mathematics

2 · Predict

What do you expect?

Before changing a setting: When does a faster process violate the service requirement? Write what you expect and why.

3 · Experiment

Change one thing. Inspect what happens.

  1. Compare all plans at 100 cases.
  2. Set a requirement of at most two expected unresolved cases.
  3. Change workload and identify setup-cost effects.
  4. Write a proposal naming the chosen plan, rejected alternatives, assumptions and follow-up metric.
Experiment inputs
Inputs
Your settings
Mechanism
Calculation below
Evidence
Compare outcomes
Staff time600 minutes
Expected unresolved cases0 cases

Follow the calculation

  1. Plan: manual. Setup=0 minutes; each case=6 minutes.
  2. 100 cases × 0% assumed unresolved rate = 0 expected unresolved cases.
  3. Rates are teaching assumptions; time and unresolved cases are different outcomes, not one quality score.

Defend a recommendation with a workload, a tolerable failure bound and a measurement plan. The fastest plan may violate the service requirement.

Draft a decision proposal

State workload, service requirement, selected plan, alternatives, costs, unresolved cases and a stop or review condition. Use your captured comparison.

75/8,000 characters. Drafts save locally and are included in backups. Importing or opening a draft never runs it.

Compare with my earlier draft
Automate everything because it is faster. The details can be decided later.

Explain what you changed and why in your observation notes. Text differences do not establish quality.

Inspect an example solution after your attempt
At 100 cases and a ceiling of two expected unresolved cases, reviewed automation uses 420 staff-minutes and expects two unresolved cases. Manual work uses 600 minutes and zero; unreviewed automation uses 180 minutes but expects ten. Pilot reviewed automation and inspect actual unresolved cases before expanding.

This is one worked example. Test another input and explain its limitations.

Captures keep your inputs, prediction and observation. Results are recalculated from those inputs. Resetting inputs keeps your captures and challenge history.

4 · Understand

Explain the mechanism

Defend a proposal with trade-offs

Compare fictional service plans with setup time, per-case work and explicitly assumed unresolved-case rates.

Follow the mechanism

Manual work has no setup cost here but consumes six minutes per case.

Reviewed automation costs 120 setup minutes plus three minutes per case, with an assumed 2% unresolved rate.

Expected failures are averages under assumptions, not guarantees; explain how observed outcomes would change the recommendation.

Worked example

Plan: manual. Setup=0 minutes; each case=6 minutes.

100 cases × 0% assumed unresolved rate = 0 expected unresolved cases.

Rates are teaching assumptions; time and unresolved cases are different outcomes, not one quality score.

Calculation

Staff minutes = setup minutes + cases × minutes per case; expected unresolved = cases × assumed unresolved rate.

Try a controlled comparison

  1. Compare all plans at 100 cases.

  2. Set a requirement of at most two expected unresolved cases.

  3. Change workload and identify setup-cost effects.

  4. Write a proposal naming the chosen plan, rejected alternatives, assumptions and follow-up metric.

What this does not establish

  • All messages, people, documents and outcomes here are original fictional teaching fixtures; results are not measurements of real organizations.
5 · Apply

Try a fresh case

A reviewed process needs 90 setup minutes and 4 minutes for each of 30 cases. What is its total staff time?

This is a public practice check. Retries support learning; matching a number does not certify independent proficiency.

Take the investigation further

Choose any extension. These are project prompts for you to carry out; they are not automatically assessed.

School investigation

Create a new case with different numbers and explain your decision to a classmate.

College investigation

Implement or analyze a fresh case, document assumptions and compare at least two alternatives.

Workplace investigation

Prepare a decision artifact with evidence, operating constraints, an owner and a follow-up measurement.

6 · Continue

Keep the evidence, choose your next step

Completion records your own decision that you have worked through this investigation. Practice checks and independent project evidence are separate.